Lucchese vs Novara: result 1-4 and analysis
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 21Kick-off on January 31, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca
Full time
What was the result of Lucchese vs Novara?
Novara won 1-4 on January 31, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 4′E. LaniniNovara
- 20′G. PanicoNovara
- 31′S. RossettiNovara
- 68′E. LaniniNovara
- 90′F. BianchiLucchese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Novara have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | Pergolettese(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Renate(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Lecco(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Livorno(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2021 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Como(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Olbia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lucchese win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Novara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2020 | Novara 3-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Lucchese 0-1 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Novara 2-2 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucchese score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucchese | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Novara | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy