Lucko vs Novigrad: result 1-0 and analysis
First NLRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 28, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Igralište Lučkog, Zagreb
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What was the result of Lucko vs Novigrad?
Lucko won 1-0 on April 28, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucko have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Novigrad have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Kustosija(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 2-3 | First NL |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Solin(away) | 0-0 | First NL |
| Apr 3, 2018 | Sibenik(away) | 0-3 | First NL |
| Mar 28, 2018 | Dinamo Zagreb II(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Dinamo Zagreb II(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Apr 14, 2018 | HNK Gorica(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Dugopolje(home) | 3-0 | First NL |
| Apr 3, 2018 | Sesvete(away) | 0-5 | First NL |
| Mar 28, 2018 | NK Varazdin(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Lucko win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Novigrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | Novigrad 0-0 Lucko | First NL |
| Aug 30, 2017 | Lucko 0-2 Novigrad | First NL |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Novigrad 0-1 Lucko | First NL |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Lucko 0-0 Novigrad | First NL |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Novigrad 1-0 Lucko | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucko score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novigrad score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucko | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Novigrad | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy