Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna: result 5-1 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 29, 2018 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Full time
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
Ludogorets won 5-1 on September 29, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 12′WandersonLudogorets
- 47′C. KeșerüLudogorets
- 48′D. BakalovLudogorets
- 55′A. N'DongalaCherno More Varna
- 62′MarcelinhoLudogorets
- 71′C. KeșerüLudogorets
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cherno More Varna have 4, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2018 | Nesebar(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Vereya Stara Zagora(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2018 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 31, 2018 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 24, 2018 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-0 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cherno More Varna score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cherno More Varna | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 1st in First League (16 points from 6 matches) and Cherno More Varna sit 10th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Cherno More Varna | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy