Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna: result 2-1 and analysis
CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on April 4, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Full time
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna?
Ludogorets won 2-1 on April 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 25′A. BelousovSpartak Varna
- 38′Caio VidalLudogorets
- 76′ShowLudogorets
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Spartak Varna have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Hebar 1918(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Anderlecht(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 18, 2023 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Ludogorets win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Spartak Varna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | Spartak Varna 1-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Ludogorets 5-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Spartak Varna 0-1 Ludogorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets on Feb 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Varna score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Spartak Varna | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy