Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for CSKA 1948. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Ludogorets (1,987) and CSKA 1948 (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; CSKA 1948 have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ludogorets win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 CSKA 1948 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | CSKA 1948 1-0 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-2 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ludogorets 3-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | CSKA 1948 5-4 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 7, 2025 | CSKA 1948 1-3 Ludogorets | First League |
| Dec 16, 2024 | CSKA 1948 2-3 Ludogorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: CSKA 1948 vs Ludogorets on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 1st in First League (16 points from 6 matches) and CSKA 1948 sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for CSKA 1948.
- Where and when is Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 played?
- Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Huvepharma Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.