Lugano II vs Étoile Carouge: result 1-2 and analysis
1. Liga PromotionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 1, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, Lugano
Full time
What was the result of Lugano II vs Étoile Carouge?
Étoile Carouge won 1-2 on October 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 12′?Étoile Carouge
- 62′B. CasleiÉtoile Carouge
- 82′A. DurrerLugano II
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Étoile Carouge have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Cham(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Bavois(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Bulle(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Paradiso(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Rapperswil(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Brühl(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Servette II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Delémont(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 3, 2023 | SC Kriens(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Bavois(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano II score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile Carouge score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano II | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Étoile Carouge | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lugano II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy