Lugo vs Numancia: result 3-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 37Kick-off on July 1, 2020 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
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What was the result of Lugo vs Numancia?
Lugo won 3-1 on July 1, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 12′Manu BarreiroLugo (pen.)
- 48′Marcelo DjalóLugo
- 61′Marc MateuNumancia
- 90′José Ángel CarrilloLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Numancia have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2020 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 23, 2020 | Malaga(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Las Palmas(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jun 16, 2020 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Jun 13, 2020 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2020 | Oviedo(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 24, 2020 | Girona(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 18, 2020 | Cadiz(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Jun 14, 2020 | Mirandes(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lugo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Numancia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | Numancia 3-1 Lugo | Segunda División |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Numancia 3-0 Lugo | Segunda División |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Lugo 3-2 Numancia | Segunda División |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Numancia 2-0 Lugo | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Lugo 0-1 Numancia | Segunda División |
| May 21, 2017 | Numancia 0-1 Lugo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Numancia | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy