Lumezzane vs Union Brescia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Union Brescia?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lumezzane vs Union Brescia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lumezzane
4-3-3- 32G. Anatriello
- 9T. Ebone
- 77S. Diodato
- 19M. Rolando
- 17Sasha Mancini
- 8M. Rocca
- 30A. Boffelli
- 21J. Deratti
- 15M. Ndiaye
- 90S. Nwachukwu
- 13L. Andrenacci
Union Brescia
4-3-3- 30J. Pellegrini
- 9V. Crespi
- 91A. Spagnoli
- 25A. Rizzo Pinna
- 6A. Mercati
- 8D. Balestrero
- 28L. Silvestri
- 15T. Casasola
- 24B. Boci
- 95S. Sina
- 43G. Zacchi
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Union Brescia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lumezzane wins, 0 draws, 0 Union Brescia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lumezzane 1-0 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Union Brescia 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Union Brescia on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lumezzane score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Union Brescia score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Union Brescia | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lumezzane sit 11th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 12 matches) and Union Brescia sit 2nd (25 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 25 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 13 |
A question about Lumezzane vs Union Brescia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Union Brescia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lumezzane.
- Where and when is Lumezzane vs Union Brescia played?
- Lumezzane vs Union Brescia is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.