Lumezzane vs Union Brescia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane
The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Union Brescia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Union Brescia?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Union Brescia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lumezzane win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Union Brescia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lumezzane 1-0 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Union Brescia 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Union Brescia on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Union Brescia score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Union Brescia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lumezzane sit 19th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Union Brescia sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Union Brescia?
- The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Union Brescia.
- Where and when is Lumezzane vs Union Brescia played?
- Lumezzane vs Union Brescia is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.