Match

Novara vs Trento: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

NovaraTrento

The Footlab AI model makes Trento the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trento wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Trento?

Trento starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,734).

32%32%36%
Novara winDrawTrento win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Novara vs Trento

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 9D. Zuppel
  3. 7E. Lanini
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 28A. Cannavaro
  4. 70A. Valdesi
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Trento

4-3-3
  1. 9J. I. Molina
  2. 21M. Ladisa
  3. 7N. Dalmonte
  1. 23C. Aucelli
  2. 6M. Fossati
  3. 14Andrea Sodero
  1. 18F. Benassai
  2. 44M. Maffei
  3. 3Roberto D'Intino
  4. 5S. Kassama
  1. 1S. Barlocco

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Trento have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Trento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Alcione(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Pergolettese(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 21, 2026PRO Vercelli(home)4-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Giana Erminio(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Novara wins, 3 draws, 1 Trento win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Trento 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 7, 2025Novara 1-1 TrentoSerie C - Girone A
Apr 18, 2025Novara 3-0 TrentoSerie C - Girone A
Dec 6, 2024Trento 1-3 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Jan 21, 2024Trento 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2023Novara 0-3 TrentoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Trento vs Novara on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trento score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Novara1.11.147/157/15
Trento1.10.876/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 13th in Serie C - Girone A (10 points from 10 matches) and Trento sit 5th (17 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Trento945012517
13Novara10244101410

A question about Novara vs Trento?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Trento?
The Footlab AI model makes Trento the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Novara.
Where and when is Novara vs Trento played?
Novara vs Trento is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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