Renate vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda
The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renate wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renate vs Lecco?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Renate (1,677) and Lecco (1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Renate vs Lecco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Renate
4-3-3- 92N. Anelli
- 47L. Kerrigan
- 7J. Italeng
- 11A. Delcarro
- 25F. Vassallo
- 14M. Calì
- 5S. Auriletto
- 13A. Moțoc
- 21C. Riviera
- 29T. Botrini
- 30M. Avella
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 21A. Metlika
- 6A. Mallamo
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 5M. Arena
- 22T. Vettorel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lecco have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Renate wins, 0 draws, 3 Lecco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Lecco 0-3 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Renate 0-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Renate 1-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Lecco 0-2 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 3, 2023 | Renate 0-2 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Lecco 1-0 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Renate score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Lecco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renate sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (4 points from 9 matches) and Lecco sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Renate vs Lecco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renate vs Lecco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Lecco.
- Where and when is Renate vs Lecco played?
- Renate vs Lecco is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.