Renate vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renate vs Lecco?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Renate (1,815) and Lecco (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lecco have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Renate win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Lecco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Lecco 0-3 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Renate 0-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Renate 1-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Lecco 0-2 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 3, 2023 | Renate 0-2 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Lecco 1-0 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renate sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Lecco sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renate vs Lecco?
- The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lecco.
- Where and when is Renate vs Lecco played?
- Renate vs Lecco is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.