Lund vs Trelleborg: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 27Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Klostergårdens IP, Lund
The Footlab AI model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Lund. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trelleborg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lund vs Trelleborg?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Lund (1,632) and Trelleborg (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lund vs Trelleborg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lund
4-3-3- 99M. Bojang
- 7A. Nilsson
- 11A. Mehmedagic
- 10E. Lindman
- 8J. Getachew
- 20A. Wihlborg
- 3L. Nicklasson
- 2B. Veličković
- 12J. Strid
- 26I. Orajärvi
- 1A. Alexandersson
Trelleborg
4-3-3- 20K. Asare
- 14J. Gudmundsson
- 8O. Ruuska
- 7J. Christiansen
- 13B. Antonsson
- 6A. Asani
- 18J. Modig
- 3Ó. Sverrisson
- 22N. Bergmark
- 4A. Rehn
- 1M. Påhlsson
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lund have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Trelleborg have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Laholm(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Kristianstad(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Angelholms FF(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelholms FF(home) | 4-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tvååker(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Rosengård(away) | 4-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Lund wins, 2 draws, 2 Trelleborg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trelleborg 2-2 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Lund 2-3 Trelleborg | Svenska Cupen |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Lund 1-2 Trelleborg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Lund 2-2 Trelleborg | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Lund score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trelleborg score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lund | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Trelleborg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lund sit 4th in Ettan - Södra (41 points from 25 matches) and Trelleborg sit 1st (54 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 28 | 54 |
| 4 | Lund | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 29 | 41 |
A question about Lund vs Trelleborg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lund vs Trelleborg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Lund.
- Where and when is Lund vs Trelleborg played?
- Lund vs Trelleborg is played on October 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Klostergårdens IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.