Luparense vs Calvi Noale: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, San Martino di Lupari
The Footlab model makes Luparense the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luparense vs Calvi Noale?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Luparense (1,737) and Calvi Noale (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luparense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Calvi Noale have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vigasio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Portogruaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Adriese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Luparense win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Calvi Noale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Calvi Noale 0-1 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Luparense 2-1 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Calvi Noale 1-2 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Luparense 1-1 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Calvi Noale 0-0 Luparense | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Calvi Noale vs Luparense on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luparense score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Calvi Noale score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luparense | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Calvi Noale | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luparense sit 13th in Serie D - Girone C (43 points from 34 matches) and Calvi Noale sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Calvi Noale | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
| 13 | Luparense | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luparense vs Calvi Noale?
- The Footlab model makes Luparense the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is Luparense vs Calvi Noale played?
- Luparense vs Calvi Noale is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.