Virtus Bolzano vs FC Obermais: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Calcio Righi, Bozen
The Footlab model makes FC Obermais the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs FC Obermais?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Virtus Bolzano (1,624) and FC Obermais (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Bolzano have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; FC Obermais have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2024 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Mori Santo Stefano(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Portogruaro(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Adriese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 10, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conegliano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Bolzano score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Obermais score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Bolzano | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Obermais | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Obermais | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 47 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Bolzano vs FC Obermais?
- The Footlab model makes FC Obermais the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Virtus Bolzano.
- Where and when is Virtus Bolzano vs FC Obermais played?
- Virtus Bolzano vs FC Obermais is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Calcio Righi, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.