Luton vs Bury: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 19, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Bury?
Luton and Bury drew 1-1 on August 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 62′D. RoseBury
- 90′P. MpanzuLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bury have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2014 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Carlisle(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Forest Green(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2014 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Bolton(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Cheltenham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| May 3, 2014 | Morecambe(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Portsmouth(home) | 4-4 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bury | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy