Plymouth vs Stevenage: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 19, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
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What was the result of Plymouth vs Stevenage?
Plymouth and Stevenage drew 1-1 on August 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 54′Connor CalcuttStevenage
- 90′Deane SmalleyPlymouth (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stevenage have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2014 | Exeter City(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Leyton Orient(home) | 5-5 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Cambridge United(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| May 3, 2014 | Portsmouth(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2014 | Southend(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Watford(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| May 3, 2014 | Brentford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Walsall(home) | 3-2 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stevenage | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy