Luton vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Plymouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luton vs Plymouth?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Luton (1,937) and Plymouth (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luton vs Plymouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 18J. Clark
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 25I. Jones
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Plymouth
3-4-3- 9W. Evans
- 27A. Pepple
- 10X. Amaechi
- 7H. White
- 19T. Bakinson
- 8J. Edwards
- 11R. Curtis
- 45W. Harding
- 15A. Mitchell
- 5Julio Pleguezuelo
- 1M. Mahoney
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Luton win, 2 draws, 3 Plymouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Luton 2-1 Plymouth | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Plymouth 1-0 Luton | League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Luton 2-3 Plymouth | League One |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Luton 1-1 Plymouth | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Plymouth 3-1 Luton | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Plymouth 0-0 Luton | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Plymouth | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luton sit 3rd in League One (24 points from 14 matches) and Plymouth sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
A question about Luton vs Plymouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luton vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Plymouth.
- Where and when is Luton vs Plymouth played?
- Luton vs Plymouth is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.