Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium MK, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Milton Keynes Dons starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,641).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 17S. Silvera
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 8A. Gilbey
- 22I. Fullah
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Sheffield Wednesday
3-4-3- 50D. Keillor-Dunn
- 8C. Slattery
- 48Mason Paul James Burstow
- 7Y. Valery
- 10B. Bannan
- 18Jaden Heskey
- 24H. Gray
- 30Ernie Weaver
- 2L. Palmer
- 3M. Lowe
- 13A. Maynard-Brewer
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 6-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Milton Keynes Dons win, 1 draw, 4 Sheffield Wednesday wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 5-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 2-3 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2015 | Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Wednesday vs Milton Keynes Dons on Feb 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 12th in League One (18 points from 13 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 9th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 20 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
A question about Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium MK, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.