Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Milton Keynes Dons starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Milton Keynes Dons win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sheffield Wednesday win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 5-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 2-3 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2015 | Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Wednesday vs Milton Keynes Dons on Feb 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 14th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.