Plymouth vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plymouth wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Notts County?
On Elo ratings, Plymouth has 1,902 points and Notts County 1,836.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plymouth vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plymouth
3-4-3- 9W. Evans
- 27A. Pepple
- 10X. Amaechi
- 7H. White
- 19T. Bakinson
- 8J. Edwards
- 11R. Curtis
- 45W. Harding
- 15A. Mitchell
- 5Julio Pleguezuelo
- 1M. Mahoney
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 27R. Finneran
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 11C. Grant
- 19L. Smyth
- 20S. Robertson
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Notts County have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Plymouth wins, 0 draws, 1 Notts County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | Plymouth 0-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Notts County 1-2 Plymouth | League Two |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Plymouth 1-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 11, 2015 | Notts County 0-2 Plymouth | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth vs Notts County on Feb 28, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Notts County | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth sit 5th in League One (23 points from 14 matches) and Notts County sit 17th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
A question about Plymouth vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Notts County played?
- Plymouth vs Notts County is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.