Luxembourg vs Lithuania: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 1Kick-off on March 22, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade de Luxembourg, Lëtzebuerg (Luxembourg)
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What was the result of Luxembourg vs Lithuania?
Luxembourg won 2-1 on March 22, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 14′F. ČernychLithuania
- 45′L. BarreiroLuxembourg
- 55′G. RodriguesLuxembourg
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luxembourg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lithuania have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | Moldova(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Belarus(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | San Marino(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Belarus(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | San Marino(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2018 | Serbia(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Romania(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Montenegro(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Romania(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Montenegro(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Luxembourg score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lithuania score 0.4 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Lithuania | 0.4 | 2.4 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy