Luzern II vs Basel II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Hubelmatt, Luzern
The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Basel II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzern II vs Basel II?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Luzern II (1,648) and Basel II (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzern II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Basel II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luzern II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Basel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Basel II 3-2 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Luzern II 1-1 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Luzern II 2-2 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Basel II 1-3 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Basel II 5-1 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Luzern II 4-1 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Basel II vs Luzern II on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzern II score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Basel II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzern II | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Basel II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzern II sit 14th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Basel II sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 15 | Basel II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzern II vs Basel II?
- The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Basel II.
- Where and when is Luzern II vs Basel II played?
- Luzern II vs Basel II is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Hubelmatt, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.