Luzern II vs Étoile Carouge: result 5-1 and analysis
1. Liga PromotionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 19, 2022 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Hubelmatt, Luzern
Full time
What was the result of Luzern II vs Étoile Carouge?
Luzern II won 5-1 on November 19, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 14′N. ToggenburgerLuzern II
- 22′?Étoile Carouge
- 30′N. ToggenburgerLuzern II (pen.)
- 43′N. ToggenburgerLuzern II
- 52′?Luzern II
- 79′?Luzern II
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzern II have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Étoile Carouge have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | Bavois(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Brühl(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Zürich II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Rapperswil(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 19, 2022 | YF Juventus(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | FC Chiasso(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Basel II(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Cham(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Young Boys II(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Luzern II score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile Carouge score 2.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzern II | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Étoile Carouge | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy