Match

Luzern W vs Aarau W: prediction and stats

AXA Women’s Super LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Luzern WAarau W

The Footlab AI model makes Luzern W the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Aarau W. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luzern W vs Aarau W?

On Elo ratings, Luzern W has 1,371 points and Aarau W 1,296.

66%18%16%
Luzern W winDrawAarau W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Luzern W vs Aarau W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Luzern W

4-3-3
  1. 9G. Fetaj
  2. 6Michele Schnider
  3. 28C. Carp
  1. 22F. Sperlich
  2. 39L. Haring
  3. 36R. Schallberger
  1. 3L. Walti
  2. 4M. Knapp
  3. 10C. Ruf
  4. 18A. Amuchie
  1. 45L. Schneider

Aarau W

4-3-3
  1. 11A. Klingenstein
  2. 17J. Steck
  3. 9A. Rama
  1. 27C. Hofer
  2. 8V. Hoti
  3. 13F. Reinschmidt
  1. 6B. Asgeirsdottir
  2. 22M. Stierli
  3. 4A. Jaggi
  4. 12E. Elezi
  1. 1L. Barth

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzern W have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Aarau W have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luzern W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Servette Chênois W(away)1-4AXA Women’s Super League
Oct 3, 2026Young Boys W(away)1-2AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 18, 2026Yverdon W(home)3-3AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 13, 2026Grasshopper W(away)0-0AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 9, 2026Rapperswil Jona W(home)2-0AXA Women’s Super League
Aarau W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Basel W(home)3-1AXA Women’s Super League
Oct 3, 2026Rapperswil Jona W(away)2-5AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 19, 2026Young Boys W(home)1-2AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 13, 2026Yverdon W(away)1-4AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 9, 2026St. Gallen W(away)2-2AXA Women’s Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luzern W wins, 2 draws, 2 Aarau W wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Aarau W 0-1 Luzern WAXA Women’s Super League
Feb 20, 2026Luzern W 2-3 Aarau WAXA Women’s Super League
Sep 6, 2025Aarau W 1-1 Luzern WAXA Women’s Super League
Mar 15, 2025Aarau W 4-1 Luzern WAXA Women’s Super League
Oct 12, 2024Luzern W 1-1 Aarau WAXA Women’s Super League
Mar 16, 2024Aarau W 0-2 Luzern WAXA Women’s Super League

Last archived meeting: Aarau W vs Luzern W on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luzern W score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aarau W score 0.9 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luzern W1.91.369/1510/15
Aarau W0.92.828/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luzern W sit 6th in AXA Women’s Super League (11 points from 9 matches) and Aarau W sit 10th (4 points from 9 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Luzern W9324141511
10Aarau W911710314

A question about Luzern W vs Aarau W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luzern W vs Aarau W?
The Footlab AI model makes Luzern W the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Aarau W.
Where and when is Luzern W vs Aarau W played?
Luzern W vs Aarau W is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the AXA Women’s Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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