Lyon Duchere vs Chateauroux: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 14Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Balmont, Lyon
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon Duchere the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Chateauroux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lyon Duchere wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon Duchere vs Chateauroux?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Lyon Duchere (1,743) and Chateauroux (1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lyon Duchere vs Chateauroux
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lyon Duchere
5-4-1- 9S. Bourouis-Belle
- 11E. Valey
- 7A. Etien
- 8Y. Martelat
- 10N. Dhib
- 6Y. Zouma
- 5R. Thunet
- 3M. Clavel
- 2M. Haon
- 4N. Ighbane
- 1E. Vita
Chateauroux
4-3-3- 12J. Koembo
- 19L. Piquionne
- 27W. Boussaid
- 5P. Wade
- 21Y. Chahid
- 10R. Freitas
- 39M. Beneddine
- 6G. Kelo
- 4D. Diarra
- 28S. Mopila
- 16L. Lavallée
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon Duchere have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Chateauroux have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andrézieux(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | UF Touraine(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lyon Duchere win, 1 draw, 1 Chateauroux win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2020 | Chateauroux 0-2 Lyon Duchere | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 12, 2017 | Lyon Duchere 0-2 Chateauroux | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 21, 2016 | Chateauroux 0-0 Lyon Duchere | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Chateauroux vs Lyon Duchere on Aug 14, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon Duchere score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chateauroux score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Duchere | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Chateauroux | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon Duchere sit 16th in National 2 - Group C (3 points from 6 matches) and Chateauroux sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Chateauroux | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lyon Duchere | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Lyon Duchere vs Chateauroux?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon Duchere vs Chateauroux?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon Duchere the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Chateauroux.
- Where and when is Lyon Duchere vs Chateauroux played?
- Lyon Duchere vs Chateauroux is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Balmont, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.