Lyon vs Toulouse: result 1-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
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What was the result of Lyon vs Toulouse?
Toulouse won 1-2 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′M. FofanaLyon
- 87′Clinton MataToulouse (o.g.)
- 90′EmersonnToulouse
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Toulouse have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Lille(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Utrecht(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Angers(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Rennes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nantes(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Auxerre(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lille(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-6 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lyon win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Toulouse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Lyon 0-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Toulouse 1-2 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Toulouse 2-3 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Lyon 3-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Toulouse 1-2 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Lyon 1-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.1 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 1.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Toulouse sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy