Lysekloster vs jerv: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lysekloster Framo Idrettsplass, Bergen
The Footlab model makes jerv the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lysekloster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lysekloster vs jerv?
jerv starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,837 vs 1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lysekloster have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; jerv have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Os(away) | 0-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvik Halden(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bjarg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | jerv(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fram(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 2-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Træff(away) | 2-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Lysekloster(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lysekloster win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 jerv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | jerv 1-2 Lysekloster | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | jerv 0-1 Lysekloster | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Lysekloster 3-0 jerv | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Lysekloster 3-0 jerv | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jun 23, 2024 | jerv 3-1 Lysekloster | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lysekloster 2-2 jerv | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Lysekloster score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; jerv score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lysekloster | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| jerv | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lysekloster sit 12th in 2. Division - Group 1 (14 points from 16 matches) and jerv sit 1st (36 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 36 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lysekloster vs jerv?
- The Footlab model makes jerv the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lysekloster.
- Where and when is Lysekloster vs jerv played?
- Lysekloster vs jerv is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lysekloster Framo Idrettsplass, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.