Mjondalen vs Træff: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
The Footlab model makes Mjondalen the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Træff. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mjondalen vs Træff?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Mjondalen (1,778) and Træff (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mjondalen have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Træff have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kvik Halden(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notodden(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 5-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rollon(away) | 7-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sotra(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | jerv(home) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kvik Halden(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mjondalen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Træff win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Træff 2-2 Mjondalen | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mjondalen score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Træff score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjondalen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Træff | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mjondalen sit 3rd in 2. Division - Group 1 (32 points from 16 matches) and Træff sit 8th (25 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Træff | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mjondalen vs Træff?
- The Footlab model makes Mjondalen the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Træff.
- Where and when is Mjondalen vs Træff played?
- Mjondalen vs Træff is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Consto Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.