Lysekloster vs Mjondalen: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lysekloster Framo Idrettsplass, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Mjondalen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Lysekloster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lysekloster vs Mjondalen?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Lysekloster (1,680) and Mjondalen (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lysekloster have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mjondalen have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Os(away) | 0-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvik Halden(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bjarg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | jerv(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kvik Halden(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notodden(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 5-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lysekloster win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mjondalen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mjondalen 2-1 Lysekloster | 2. Division - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mjondalen vs Lysekloster on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lysekloster score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mjondalen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lysekloster | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mjondalen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lysekloster sit 12th in 2. Division - Group 1 (14 points from 16 matches) and Mjondalen sit 3rd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 32 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lysekloster vs Mjondalen?
- The Footlab model makes Mjondalen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Lysekloster.
- Where and when is Lysekloster vs Mjondalen played?
- Lysekloster vs Mjondalen is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lysekloster Framo Idrettsplass, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.