Vidar vs Bjarg: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lassa idrettspark, Stavanger
The Footlab model makes Bjarg the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Vidar. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vidar vs Bjarg?
Bjarg starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vidar have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Bjarg have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Madla(away) | 2-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | jerv(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 4-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arendal(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fana(away) | 3-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pors Grenland(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sotra(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lysekloster(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pors Grenland(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Vidar win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bjarg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Bjarg 3-1 Vidar | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Vidar 2-3 Bjarg | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Bjarg 4-2 Vidar | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Bjarg 4-2 Vidar | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| May 22, 2022 | Vidar 1-2 Bjarg | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vidar score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bjarg score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Bjarg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vidar sit 13th in 2. Division - Group 1 (6 points from 16 matches) and Bjarg sit 7th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bjarg | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 26 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 44 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vidar vs Bjarg?
- The Footlab model makes Bjarg the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Vidar.
- Where and when is Vidar vs Bjarg played?
- Vidar vs Bjarg is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lassa idrettspark, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.