Maardu vs Keila: result 5-3 and analysis
Cup16th FinalsKick-off on September 29, 2020 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Maardu kunstmuruväljak, Maardu
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What was the result of Maardu vs Keila?
Maardu won 5-3 on September 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 3′Anton AristovMaardu
- 14′?Keila
- 26′?Keila
- 42′?Maardu
- 61′?Maardu
- 65′Vitali GussevMaardu (pen.)
- 88′Danil LebedevMaardu
- 89′K. EpnerKeila
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maardu have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Keila have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2020 | Vaprus(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Pärnu(home) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 28, 2020 | Flora II(away) | 4-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Vändra(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2020 | Nõmme United(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2020 | Hiiumaa(away) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 1, 2018 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Elva(home) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Maardu(away) | 0-9 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Maardu win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Keila win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Maardu 9-0 Keila | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 30, 2018 | Keila 4-6 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 12, 2018 | Keila 1-2 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 19, 2018 | Maardu 4-0 Keila | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Maardu score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Keila score 1.7 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maardu | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Keila | 1.7 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy