Macara vs Barcelona SC: prediction and stats
Liga ProChampionship Group - 5Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, Ambato
The Footlab AI model makes Macara the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Barcelona SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Macara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macara vs Barcelona SC?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Macara (1,888) and Barcelona SC (1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macara vs Barcelona SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macara
4-2-3-1- 9F. Posse
- 16J. Cazares
- 28A. Campana
- 20M. Viera
- 15M. Tello
- 5J. Estacio
- 14J. Marrufo
- 25J. Bolaños
- 27J. Mohor
- 4J. Jiménez
- 1R. Rodriguez
Barcelona SC
4-2-3-1- 11T. Rodríguez
- 32M. Lugo
- 51Jefferson Wila
- 10D. Díaz
- 50J. García
- 27W. Vargas
- 33J. Báez
- 15J. Perlaza
- 4G. Vallecilla
- 18B. Carabalí
- 1J. Contreras
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macara have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Barcelona SC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 11, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Delfin SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Macara wins, 1 draw, 2 Barcelona SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barcelona SC 1-2 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Macara 3-1 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Barcelona SC 0-2 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Macara 0-1 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Barcelona SC 2-1 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Macara 1-1 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona SC vs Macara on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macara score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona SC score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macara | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Barcelona SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macara sit 2nd in Liga Pro (63 points from 34 matches) and Barcelona SC sit 6th (45 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 63 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 45 |
A question about Macara vs Barcelona SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macara vs Barcelona SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Macara the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Barcelona SC.
- Where and when is Macara vs Barcelona SC played?
- Macara vs Barcelona SC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.