Macara vs Libertad: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 21, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, Ambato
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What was the result of Macara vs Libertad?
Macara and Libertad drew 1-1 on September 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 55′P. GonzálezMacara
- 82′N. CaicedoLibertad
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macara have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Libertad have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | El Nacional(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 30, 2025 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 28, 2025 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 0-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Barcelona SC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Delfin SC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Aucas(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Macara win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Libertad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Libertad 0-1 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Libertad 0-1 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Macara 3-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Macara score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macara | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Libertad | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macara sit 3rd in Liga Pro (42 points from 25 matches) and Libertad sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Macara | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 42 |
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy