Universidad Catolica vs Macara: prediction and stats
Liga ProChampionship Group - 2Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
The Footlab AI model makes Universidad Catolica the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Macara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Universidad Catolica wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Universidad Catolica (1,855) and Macara (1,851).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Universidad Catolica vs Macara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Universidad Catolica
4-2-3-1- 7J. Fajardo
- 32M. Alonso
- 8D. Clavijo
- 28M. Díaz
- 10F. Martínez
- 9A. Londoño
- 33L. Cangá
- 37C. Medina
- 30E. Mejía
- 24D. Nazareno
- 12J. Lara
Macara
4-2-3-1- 9F. Posse
- 5J. Estacio
- 16J. Cazares
- 28A. Campana
- 20M. Viera
- 15M. Tello
- 14J. Marrufo
- 25J. Bolaños
- 27J. Mohor
- 4J. Jiménez
- 1R. Rodriguez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Macara have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Astillero FC (Ecu)(away) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 4-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Orense SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Universidad Catolica wins, 1 draw, 0 Macara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Macara 1-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Universidad Catolica 4-0 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Macara 1-4 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Universidad Catolica 1-0 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Macara 1-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Universidad Catolica 3-0 Macara | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Macara vs Universidad Catolica on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Macara score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Macara | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 3rd in Liga Pro (51 points from 31 matches) and Macara sit 2nd (54 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 51 |
A question about Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Universidad Catolica the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Macara.
- Where and when is Universidad Catolica vs Macara played?
- Universidad Catolica vs Macara is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.