Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda?
Bnei Yehuda starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bnei Yehuda have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home) | 3-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Bnei Yehuda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-2 Bnei Yehuda | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Bnei Yehuda 1-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 7, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-0 Bnei Yehuda | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Bnei Yehuda 0-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda on Mar 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bnei Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bnei Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Bnei Yehuda sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda is played on March 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel AcrevsIroni Modi'in
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel AfulavsKafr Qasim
- Mar 12, 2027AshdodvsKiryat Yam SC
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel Ra'ananavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Herzliya
- Mar 12, 2027Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Mar 12, 2027Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat