Ashdod vs Kiryat Yam SC: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashdod vs Kiryat Yam SC?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,712) and Kiryat Yam SC (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Kiryat Yam SC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kiryat Yam SC score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kiryat Yam SC | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashdod sit 11th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Kiryat Yam SC sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kiryat Yam SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Ashdod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Kiryat Yam SC?
- The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ashdod.
- Where and when is Ashdod vs Kiryat Yam SC played?
- Ashdod vs Kiryat Yam SC is played on March 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel AcrevsIroni Modi'in
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel AfulavsKafr Qasim
- Mar 12, 2027Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsBnei Yehuda
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel Ra'ananavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Mar 12, 2027Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Herzliya
- Mar 12, 2027Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Mar 12, 2027Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat