Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Ra'anana: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ra'anana the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Ra'anana?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738) and Hapoel Ra'anana (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Ra'anana have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(away) | 3-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Ra'anana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana 2-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1-1 Hapoel Ra'anana | Liga Alef |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Hapoel Ra'anana 1-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Alef |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1-2 Hapoel Ra'anana | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-0 Hapoel Ra'anana | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-0 Hapoel Ra'anana | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ra'anana vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ra'anana score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Ra'anana | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Ra'anana sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Ra'anana?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ra'anana the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Ra'anana played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Ra'anana is played on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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