Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
The Footlab AI model makes Ashdod the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ashdod wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,777) and Hapoel Afula (1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ashdod
4-2-3-1- 7N. Dabush
- 6V. Ochayi
- 18M. Cuba
- 77H. Boahen
- 71A. Danziger
- 8R. Gordana
- 16M. Yashilirmak
- 3I. Diakite
- 87M. Amer
- 20R. Tal
- 1R. Carmi
Hapoel Afula
Not enough data to predict the Hapoel Afula lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Afula have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(away) | 4-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 3-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 3-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(away) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 3-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ashdod win, 0 draws, 2 Hapoel Afula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula 2-0 Ashdod | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 27, 2024 | Hapoel Afula 3-4 Ashdod | State Cup |
| Jan 15, 2019 | Hapoel Afula 3-1 Ashdod | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Ashdod on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashdod score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Afula score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Afula | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashdod sit 1st in Liga Leumit (25 points from 10 matches) and Hapoel Afula sit 6th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashdod | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 25 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
A question about Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ashdod the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula played?
- Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula is played on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 11, 2026Kafr QasimvsHapoel Kfar Shalem
- Dec 11, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsHapoel Ra'anana
- Dec 11, 2026Hapoel Kfar SabavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Dec 11, 2026Maccabi HerzliyavsIroni Modi'in
- Dec 11, 2026Bnei YehudavsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Dec 11, 2026Maccabi Kiryat GatvsHapoel Acre
- Dec 11, 2026Kiryat Yam SCvsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa