Where and when is Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula played?

Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula is played on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod

Ashdod

Hapoel Afula

The Footlab model makes Ashdod the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,730) and Hapoel Afula (1,707).

Ashdod win38 %

Draw27 %

Hapoel Afula win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Hapoel Afula have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ashdod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home)	1-0	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 18, 2026	Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away)	3-2	Ligat Ha'al
May 13, 2026	Hapoel Katamon(home)	0-1	Ligat Ha'al
May 10, 2026	Hapoel Haifa(away)	0-1	Ligat Ha'al

Hapoel Afula
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)	1-0	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Ashdod(home)	2-0	Liga Leumit
Jul 18, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	Kafr Qasim(home)	2-0	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	1-4	Liga Leumit

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ashdod win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Afula win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Hapoel Afula 2-0 Ashdod	Liga Leumit
Dec 27, 2024	Hapoel Afula 3-4 Ashdod	State Cup
Jan 15, 2019	Hapoel Afula 3-1 Ashdod	State Cup

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Ashdod on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ashdod	1.0	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
Hapoel Afula	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ashdod sit 11th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Afula sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Hapoel Afula	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
11	Ashdod	2	1	0	1	1	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula?: The Footlab model makes Ashdod the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula.
Where and when is Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula played?: Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula is played on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.