Maccabi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Shimshon Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,688) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Apr 17, 2023 | Maccabi Ashdod 5-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ashdod on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Shimshon Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel AzorvsDimona
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsFC Jerusalem
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Herzliya
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsBeitar Yavne
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHolon Yermiyahu
- Oct 19, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Marmorek
- Oct 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Hadera
- Oct 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Ramat HaSharon