Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Yavne Municipal Stadium, Yavne
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Yavne have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Yavne win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Maccabi Yavne 1-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 1-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Maccabi Yavne 0-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Yavne sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Yavne Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel AzorvsDimona
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsFC Jerusalem
- Oct 19, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Herzliya
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Oct 19, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsBeitar Yavne
- Oct 19, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Marmorek
- Oct 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Hadera
- Oct 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Ramat HaSharon