Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek played?

Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem

Nordia Jerusalem

Hapoel Marmorek

The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).

Nordia Jerusalem win38 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Marmorek win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordia Jerusalem
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Hapoel Azor(away)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	FC Jerusalem(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Tzeirey Tira(away)	2-5	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)	2-2	Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026	Kfar Saba 1928(away)	1-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Marmorek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Maccabi Ashdod(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Hapoel Herzliya(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Beitar Yavne(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Holon Yermiyahu(away)	2-1	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 7, 2025	Hapoel Marmorek 0-3 Nordia Jerusalem	Liga Alef
Mar 1, 2025	Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Nordia Jerusalem	Liga Alef
Nov 5, 2024	Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Marmorek	Liga Alef
Feb 26, 2024	Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Marmorek	Liga Alef
Sep 22, 2023	Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Nordia Jerusalem	Liga Alef
Apr 13, 2022	Hapoel Marmorek 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem on Nov 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nordia Jerusalem	1.5	1.9	2	11/15	11/15
Hapoel Marmorek	0.9	1.3	4	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20	34	24
16	Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28	40	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?: The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek played?: Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.