Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Gat
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Kfar Shalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Gat (1,795) and Hapoel Kfar Shalem (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Hapoel Kfar Shalem have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 4-0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Liga Alef |
| Nov 4, 2019 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-4 Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2019 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1-1 Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 9, 2018 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1-1 Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1-1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat on Mar 5, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Kfar Shalem score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Kfar Shalem sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Kfar Shalem.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.