Match

Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod

AshdodMaccabi Ahi Nazareth

The Footlab AI model makes Ashdod the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ashdod wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,777) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,689).

37%27%36%
Ashdod winDrawMaccabi Ahi Nazareth win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ashdod

4-2-3-1
  1. 7N. Dabush
  1. 6V. Ochayi
  2. 18M. Cuba
  3. 77H. Boahen
  4. 71A. Danziger
  5. 8R. Gordana
  1. 16M. Yashilirmak
  2. 3I. Diakite
  3. 87M. Amer
  4. 20R. Tal
  1. 1R. Carmi

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

4-3-3
  1. 20S. Hilu
  2. 7M. Saleh
  3. LL. Bongongui
  1. 8A. Suliman
  2. 70R. Ashmoz
  3. 10Ibrahim Abu Ahmad
  1. 2I. Oz
  2. AA. Rustom
  3. FF. Najjar
  4. SS. Hussein
  1. 1O. Salem

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home)0-0Liga Leumit
Oct 12, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba(away)4-2Liga Leumit
Oct 1, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(home)1-0Liga Leumit
Sep 24, 2026Ironi Modi'in(away)3-1Liga Leumit
Sep 17, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home)3-2Liga Leumit
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba(home)0-4Liga Leumit
Oct 9, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(away)2-1Liga Leumit
Oct 1, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)1-2Liga Leumit
Sep 24, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away)0-1Liga Leumit
Sep 17, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)1-0Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Ashdod score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ashdod1.71.156/158/15
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth1.41.528/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ashdod sit 1st in Liga Leumit (25 points from 10 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 12th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ashdod1081122825
12Maccabi Ahi Nazareth10316101710

A question about Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
The Footlab AI model makes Ashdod the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
Where and when is Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?
Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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