Where and when is Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?

Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod

Ashdod

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Ashdod (1,730) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,756).

Ashdod win33 %

Draw27 %

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashdod have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ashdod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home)	1-0	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 18, 2026	Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away)	3-2	Ligat Ha'al
May 13, 2026	Hapoel Katamon(home)	0-1	Ligat Ha'al
May 10, 2026	Hapoel Haifa(away)	0-1	Ligat Ha'al

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hapoel Afula(home)	0-1	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Hapoel Ra'anana(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit
Feb 20, 2026	Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away)	3-0	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home)	4-2	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away)	2-2	Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ashdod	1.0	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1.8	1.5	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ashdod sit 11th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Ashdod	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
13	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?: The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ashdod.
Where and when is Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?: Ashdod vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yud-Alef Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.