Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Gat
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kafr Qasim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Kafr Qasim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 4-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kafr Qasim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-1 Kafr Qasim | Liga Alef |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Kafr Qasim 2-0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Liga Alef |
| Apr 20, 2018 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1-1 Kafr Qasim | Liga Alef |
| Dec 22, 2017 | Kafr Qasim 1-3 Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Liga Alef |
| Feb 24, 2017 | Kafr Qasim 2-0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Liga Alef |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-1 Kafr Qasim | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim on Mar 29, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kafr Qasim score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Kafr Qasim | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Kafr Qasim sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kafr Qasim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kafr Qasim.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim is played on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Afula
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel Kfar SabavsBnei Yehuda
- Sep 24, 2026Maccabi HerzliyavsKiryat Yam SC
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Sep 24, 2026Ironi Modi'invsAshdod
- Sep 24, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Ra'anana