Match

Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Gat

Maccabi Kiryat GatKafr Qasim

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kafr Qasim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim?

Maccabi Kiryat Gat starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,678).

Maccabi Kiryat Gat win49 %
Draw26 %
Kafr Qasim win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Kafr Qasim have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home)1-2Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Acre(away)2-0Liga Leumit
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)4-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Yavne(home)2-1Liga Alef
Kafr Qasim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)4-0Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(away)2-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home)2-2Liga Leumit

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kafr Qasim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2019Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-1 Kafr QasimLiga Alef
Nov 30, 2018Kafr Qasim 2-0 Maccabi Kiryat GatLiga Alef
Apr 20, 2018Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1-1 Kafr QasimLiga Alef
Dec 22, 2017Kafr Qasim 1-3 Maccabi Kiryat GatLiga Alef
Feb 24, 2017Kafr Qasim 2-0 Maccabi Kiryat GatLiga Alef
Oct 25, 2016Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-1 Kafr QasimLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim on Mar 29, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kafr Qasim score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Kiryat Gat2.41.1312/1511/15
Kafr Qasim1.01.446/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Kafr Qasim sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kafr Qasim2101423
9Maccabi Kiryat Gat2101323

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kafr Qasim.
Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim played?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kafr Qasim is played on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maccabi Kiryat Gat and Kafr Qasim

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