Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Haberfeld Stadium, Rishon LeZion
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Rishon LeZion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Hapoel Rishon LeZion (1,721) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Rishon LeZion have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home) | 2-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Rishon LeZion win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2023 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 30, 2023 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 3-3 Hapoel Rishon LeZion | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion 0-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion 0-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion on Apr 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Rishon LeZion score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Rishon LeZion sit 3rd in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
- Where and when is Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?
- Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Haberfeld Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.