Match

Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Modi'in Municipal Stadium, Modi'in Makabim-Re'ut

Ironi Modi'inAshdod

The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Ironi Modi'in (1,725) and Ashdod (1,720).

Ironi Modi'in win38 %
Draw27 %
Ashdod win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Modi'in have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ashdod have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Modi'in
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba(away)4-1Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away)2-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)0-1Liga Leumit
Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 18, 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away)3-2Ligat Ha'al
May 13, 2026Hapoel Katamon(home)0-1Ligat Ha'al
May 10, 2026Hapoel Haifa(away)0-1Ligat Ha'al
May 3, 2026Ironi Tiberias(home)0-3Ligat Ha'al

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ashdod score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ironi Modi'in0.90.954/153/15
Ashdod0.91.728/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Modi'in sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Ashdod sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Ironi Modi'in2101433
12Ashdod1001020

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod?
The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ashdod.
Where and when is Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod played?
Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod is played on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Modi'in Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ironi Modi'in and Ashdod

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