Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Modi'in Municipal Stadium, Modi'in Makabim-Re'ut
The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Ironi Modi'in (1,725) and Ashdod (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Modi'in have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ashdod have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 3, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 0-3 | Ligat Ha'al |
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ashdod score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Modi'in | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Ashdod | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Modi'in sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Ashdod sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ironi Modi'in | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ashdod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ashdod.
- Where and when is Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod played?
- Ironi Modi'in vs Ashdod is played on September 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Modi'in Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Afula
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel Kfar SabavsBnei Yehuda
- Sep 24, 2026Maccabi HerzliyavsKiryat Yam SC
- Sep 24, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Sep 24, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Ra'anana
- Sep 24, 2026Maccabi Kiryat GatvsKafr Qasim