Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athos Haifa Lot 1, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1-2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | Liga Alef |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 2-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athos Haifa Lot 1, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsTzeirey Tamra
- Jan 16, 2027Ironi NeshervsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsBeitar Nahariya
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Jan 16, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTira