Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,521).

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win26 %

Draw25 %

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 19, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	2-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	1-2	Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026	Kafr Qasim(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0.6	1.9	1	7/15	6/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	16	42	12

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.