Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, Beit She'an
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beit Shean have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0-0 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Hapoel Beit Shean 1-3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 19, 2018 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 8, 2017 | Hapoel Beit Shean 3-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Apr 7, 2017 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-0 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Dec 9, 2016 | Hapoel Beit Shean 2-2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th in Liga Alef (32 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsTzeirey Tamra
- Jan 16, 2027Ironi NeshervsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsBeitar Nahariya
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Jan 16, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 16, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Jan 16, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsTira