Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Hapoel Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Maccabi Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Petah Tikva have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 5, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-2 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Petah Tikva score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 1st in Ligat Ha'al (3 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Petah Tikva sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Hapoel Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva played?
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva is played on November 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.