Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Maccabi Netanya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Hapoel Beer Sheva starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (2,108 vs 1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Netanya have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(home) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(away) | 2-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Netanya win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Maccabi Netanya 2-4 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Maccabi Netanya 1-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Netanya on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Netanya score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Netanya | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Netanya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Maccabi Netanya.
- Where and when is Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?
- Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is played on November 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.