Where and when is Maceratese vs Ancona played?

Maceratese vs Ancona is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maceratese vs Ancona: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata

Maceratese

Ancona

The Footlab model makes Ancona the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maceratese vs Ancona?

Ancona starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,664).

Maceratese win22 %

Draw27 %

Ancona win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ancona have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maceratese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Chieti(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Real Giulianova(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Unipomezia(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Recanatese(home)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026	Castelfidardo Calcio(away)	2-2	Serie D - Girone F

Ancona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Notaresco(home)	1-3	Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026	Notaresco(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	L'Aquila(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Sammaurese(home)	3-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Fossombrone(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Maceratese win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ancona win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Ancona 4-0 Maceratese	Serie D - Girone F
Oct 26, 2025	Maceratese 1-5 Ancona	Serie D - Girone F
Jan 29, 2017	Ancona 0-1 Maceratese	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 13, 2016	Maceratese 0-0 Ancona	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Ancona vs Maceratese on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ancona score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maceratese	1.0	1.3	3	5/15	8/15
Ancona	1.3	1.0	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maceratese sit 12th in Serie D - Girone F (38 points from 34 matches) and Ancona sit 2nd (76 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Ancona	34	23	7	4	59	22	76
12	Maceratese	34	11	5	18	43	49	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Ancona?: The Footlab model makes Ancona the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Maceratese.
Where and when is Maceratese vs Ancona played?: Maceratese vs Ancona is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.